ElevatedFLAGGED 2h ago
EASTSIDE BAR · WEATHER
Rain washes out Saturday — the patio sits empty.
POTENTIAL LOSS$17,000
COVER TODAY$3,400
PAYOUT$17,000
Matched marketLive · Kalshi
Will it rain in NYC this Saturday?
Market probability 34%EARLY ACCESS
Hedge the risks no insurer will cover.
MetrEx reads your business data, finds risks insurance does not cover, and matches them to live prediction-market contracts. See your estimated loss, cost to cover, trigger, and payout in plain English.
Illustrative examples.
Market tape
The gap
Insurance won't write the risks that actually hurt you.
A storm kills a weekend. A playoff loss empties the bar. A strike delays a container. Too small, too specific, too fast — so no one underwrites it, and you eat the loss. Meanwhile, the exact events that hurt you already trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. The contracts are listed. The bridge isn't built. MetrEx is the bridge.
How it works
From your data to a priced hedge.
- 01
Connect your data
Drop in a sales export or connect your tools. MetrEx reads it.
- 02
We flag your risks
The agent turns your operation into specific, dollar-valued events.
- 03
We find the hedge
It searches Kalshi and Polymarket for the market that tracks each risk, live-priced.
- 04
You see loss vs. payout
Potential loss in, cost out, payout if it fires. One screen, plain English.
No market for a risk yet? That becomes the market we build next.
Examples
Real risks, real numbers, real markets.
Live · KalshiJeffrey
A rained-out Saturday empties the patio.
Potential loss$17,000
Cover today$3,400
Payout if it triggers$17,000
MARKET PROBABILITY20%
Live · PolymarketParis bistro
PSG wins the final — the streets shut down and we close.
Potential loss$12,000
Cover today$4,200
Payout if it triggers$12,000
MARKET PROBABILITY35%
Live · PolymarketHome-goods importer
A tariff hike lands before our holiday inventory clears.
Potential loss$400,000
Cover today$96,000
Payout if it triggers$400,000
MARKET PROBABILITY24%
Cover costs are illustrative — priced as market probability × payout, set live at the time of hedge.
The product
Your risks, ranked by what they'd cost you — each matched to a live market.
MetrEx / Risk deskLive market matching
Rained-out weekend
Live · KalshiPotential loss$17,000
Cover today$3,400
Pays if it triggers$17,000
Net if it fires+$13,600
Market probability20%
Triggers if measurable rain falls during the Sat–Sun service window. Resolves automatically on public NWS data.
Illustrative examples.
Why now
The rails exist. The bridge doesn't.
- 01
Prediction markets are now liquid and legal.
Kalshi clears CFTC-regulated event contracts; Polymarket moves billions in volume. The pricing rails already exist.
- 02
Nobody is building the originator side.
Everyone ships a trading UI. No one translates a business's real exposure into the contract that prices it. That bridge is MetrEx.
- 03
Operators are already reaching for it.
A NYC bar Jeffrey hedged a promo on Kalshi on its own. The market is teaching itself our premise.
Not insurance. Not gambling. A market-priced hedge on a real event — the same category as a prediction market, shaped like the risk you actually carry. MetrEx never custodies your money.
FAQ
No. It's an event-contract hedge priced by live markets, not an underwriter — so there are no policies, no premiums, and no claims. You see a risk, a cost to cover it, and a fixed payout if it triggers.
Yes. We route to regulated event-contract venues like Kalshi and Polymarket. MetrEx doesn't run an exchange, make markets, or hold your funds — we translate your risk and route the coverage.
We flag it and log it. Every unmet risk becomes a demand-ranked spec on our roadmap — the markets we originate next. The gaps you surface are how the catalog grows.
The trigger and payout are defined upfront. If the event hits, the market settles on public data — fast, no claims process, no adjuster, no negotiation.
Any operator carrying event risk no insurer will touch — bars, restaurants, resorts, venues, importers, DTC brands. If a storm, a sports result, or a heat wave can wreck your quarter, it's for you.